Absolutely Not The Daily Troll-o-Graph

Boris Johnson is threatening to sack rebel Tory MPs who vote to block a No Deal exit from the European Union, it has been claimed.  The Prime Minister is set to prevent Remainer MPs within his party from standing at the next general election should they try to prevent a No Deal next week. It comes as a group of cross-party group MPs has agreed to work together to delay Brexit, which could come in the form of a no-confidence vote.  Among the rebel Tory MPs thought to be involved include Philip Hammond, 63, and former justice secretary David Gauke, 47, who has said next week may be the only chance for MPs to stop a no-deal Brexit.   Mr Johnson, 55, will treat Commons votes next week as indications of confidence in his government - disqualifying rebel Tory MPs from contesting their seats, according to Sun columnist James Forsyth.  A number of options are being touted by MPs hoping to quell the possibility of a No Deal, including a legal bid in Scotland to ...

To some, Boris Johnson’s upbeat talks with EU leaders last week cast a glimmer of late summer sunlight on the Brexit impasse. There appears to be a sliver of a chance that the EU may yet return to the negotiating table in the coming weeks, perhaps because it is dawning on them that this Prime Minister is serious about taking the UK out of the EU without a deal and that a no-deal scenario will be equally – if not more – harmful to them than it will be to us. At the same time, Johnson’s evident preoccupation with fixing the Withdrawal Agreement by removing the Backstop should be serious concern for anyone who wants a genuine Brexit. There is a very real danger that the Withdrawal Agreement, without the dreaded Irish Backstop, might be agreed by the EU and then get through Parliament. The Prime Minister voted for the Withdrawal Agreement himself, even with the Backstop still in, as did a number of leading Leave-backing MPs at the third time of asking. It is only the EU which now st...

Well, I have to say I didn't think he would do it, but not only has he made the request but the Queen didn't delay in delivering it. But what does this mean in reality? Parliament returns on 3rd September but it could be prorogued from as early as the 9th September and won't return until the Queen's speech on 14th October. That leaves Parliament exactly 4 days and Friday's are a non debate day, so effectively reducing the parliamentary time to three days. On return on October 14th, Parliament would have 13 sitting days including two Fridays which limits real debate days to just 11. However, convention dictates as follows:- When the ceremony is complete, MPs return to the Commons Chamber and begin debating the contents of the speech. The debate usually takes place over six days, with each day being assigned to a policy area, such as ‘the economy’ or ‘home affairs’. This means that the time from the 14th to 22nd October will be taken up with the debate ...

The Brexit party may be prepared to work with the Conservatives through a “non-aggression pact” if the only way of achieving a “clean-break” Brexit was a general election, Nigel Farage has said. Seeking to put clear blue water between his party and the new Brexiter-dominated government, Farage reminded a rally near Westminster that Boris Johnson had voted for Theresa May’s deal with Brussels on the the third occasion it came before MPs. “That raises a very big question. Can you trust Boris Johnson on this question?” he asked more than 500 of the Brexit party’s prospective parliamentary candidates. He also railed against the “globalists” in the Labour party and evoked loud boos at the mention of Jeremy Corbyn and the Scottish National party. Farage said the backstop – the device intended to ensure there would be no hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland – was “the worst deal in history”. “Mr Johnson, if you insisted on leaving with the withdrawal...

Boris Johnson will pack the Lords with Brexiteers to tackle the imbalance in the Remain-packed upper chamber. Leave-voting luminaries ‘who have been looked over’ in the past will handed peerages in a bid to start evening up the numbers, Downing Street revealed. An initial tranche of six Brexit-backing peers will be appointed later this year, with more expected to follow. It is understood that Nigel Farage will not be one of the Eurosceptics who will don ermine. Un-elected anti-Brexit peers have repeatedly attempted to derail Brexit by defeating government on legislation to get the country out of the EU. The in-built anti-Brexit majority in the Lords has become an increasing source of frustration for ministers. Among the gripes is the disproportionately large number of Liberal Democrats. The party has 12 per cent of seats in the Lords even though it has just two per cent of MPs in the Commons. The Prime Minister, who was one of the leaders of Vote Leave, is underst...

THIS ARTICLE IS BEST VIEWED AT SOURCE AS I CAN'T REPLICATE THE GRAPHICS HERE:- https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/pseph_pollerror_20190723.html There is a disagreement between pollsters about how well the Labour party is doing. Among the established and respected major pollsters, there are two camps. One group thinks that Labour is doing relatively well and will get more votes than any other party. But the other thinks Labour is doing less well and is in third or fourth place. Curiously, the first group consists of all but one of the major pollsters, while the second consists of YouGov alone. We can see the difference by looking at recent polls from both YouGov and non-YouGov pollsters. A poll-of-polls of four recent polls from non-YouGov pollsters (ComRes, Survation, Opinium, Ipsos-MORI) is shown on the left, along with the  Electoral Calculus  seat prediction. On the right is a poll-of-polls for four recent YouGov polls. In the first scenario, Labour is...

Boris Johnson has asked the attorney general, Geoffrey Cox, whether parliament can be shut down for five weeks from 9 September in what appears to be a concerted plan to stop MPs forcing a further extension to Brexit, according to leaked government correspondence. An email from senior government advisers to an adviser in No 10 – written within the last 10 days and seen by the Observer – makes clear that the prime minister has recently requested guidance on the legality of such a move, known as prorogation. The initial legal guidance given in the email is that shutting parliament may well be possible, unless action being taken in the courts to block such a move by anti-Brexit campaigners succeeds in the meantime. On Saturday Labour and pro-remain Tory MPs reacted furiously, saying that the closure of parliament, as a method for stopping MPs preventing a potentially disastrous no-deal Brexit, would be an affront to democracy and deeply irresponsible, particularly given the gover...

Political journalists have not had a traditional silly season this month, where MPs switch off their phones and newspapers are full of party leaders posing awkwardly on their staycations. Instead, as the new term looms, Westminster's big beasts are gearing up for what promises to be the final Brexit showdown: can no deal be stopped? As Downing Street has "turbocharged" its preparations to leave the EU with or without a deal in just over two months, scores of MPs have been watching with growing alarm. Their numbers have been swelled by the so-called "Gaukeward" squad of some 20 to 40 Tories - mainly former ministers now on the backbenches - who have been meeting since the dog days of Theresa May's government to plot ways to stop a no deal. In fact the only questions in town are what mechanism they will use, together with Labour and other opposition parties, and whether they will succeed. In theory, they have strong numbers: MPs vote...

When MPs return to Parliament after the summer recess there will be less than two months until 31 October – the date the UK is set to leave the EU. Three years in, the options facing the UK are the same: leaving with a deal, leaving without a deal, seeking an extension or unilaterally revoking Article 50 to remain as a member of the EU. But Boris Johnson has said that if the UK is unable to leave with a renegotiated deal on 31 October then the UK will leave without a deal. MPs looking to make their voices heard will have far fewer opportunities to do so this time around than they had in the run-up to the end of March this year, when the former prime minister was trying to pass her withdrawal agreement. Given the limited time available, this paper reaches the following conclusions about what is likely to happen over the next few months: • It is very unlikely the UK will be able to leave the EU with a deal on 31 October: even if Johnson were able to renegotiate some part of the ...