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Rebel Conservatives and independent MPs have expressed deep scepticism after an invite from Jeremy Corbyn to discuss ways to stop a no-deal Brexit, making it explicit that their preference was to stop it by legislation, not through a Labour-led vote of no confidence. The former Conservative MP Nick Boles demanded the Labour leader rule out backing a general election that could lead to the UK leaving the EU without a deal on 31 October. In a letter that laid out plans for rebel Conservatives to stop no deal, Boles turned down Corbyn’s offer of a meeting, saying the Labour leader had to commit to alternative routes to stopping the UK crashing out that went beyond him offering to steward a caretaker government. The former Tory MP Anna Soubry said she would attend the meeting scheduled for next week with other party leaders but also underlined that she would tell Corbyn that MPs must pursue legislative routes to stop no deal, rather than an immediate confidence vote. Dominic...

The First Post - Rising odds?

Hello, and welcome to our pilot test for a new home. We will test the water with a simple item drawn from the DT's data journalist who tells us that: "...the implied probability of the UK leaving the EU without a deal to rise to more than 40 having been at less than 20 per cent as recently as April." (data from Oddstracker) Boris has apparently described the chance of a no-deal Brexit as "vanishingly small", but this remains the default legal position. £2.1bn in additional funding has been made available by the treasury to prepare for this outcome. He goes on to say: "So far Mr Johnson has also refused to meet with his European Union counterparts until they agree to remove the Irish backstop from the Withdrawal Agreement, something which the EU has completely ruled out. "Several EU leaders have expressed a desire to meet with Johnson and discuss the issue of Brexit, including French President Emanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela M...