Absolutely Not The Daily Troll-o-Graph

 Matt Goodwin Jan 31 Nigel Farage and the Reform Party could win the next general election. Yes, I genuinely believe that. Why? Because of what I’m about to show you. By the end of this post, I will have convinced you there is a plausible, credible and identifiable Roadmap to Power for Nigel Farage and his self-anointed People’s Army. Before setting it out, let’s begin with the wider context of what’s unfolding in British politics, or what I call ‘the three Ps’ —the polls, political volatility, and the public. First, in the latest polls, Reform is now averaging close to 25%, up more than 10-points on what it polled only six months ago at the 2024 general election. In the ‘poll of polls’, an average of all polls, Reform is now second, ahead of the Tories and within the margin of error of replacing Labour. While this would already put Reform on around 90-100 seats at the next election, if Reform —which is now taking just as many disillusioned voters from Labour and the Liberal Democr...

How the British state wants to use Southport and the Rape Gangs to squash free speech and define millions of ordinary people as "right-wing extremist" Source - Matt Goodwin 27/01/25 The horrific atrocities in Southport and the horrors of the rape gangs are going to be used to justify a sharp clamp down on free speech and free expression. That’s the conclusion you’d draw were you to read a bombshell new document from the Home Office, which was leaked to British newspapers last night. The report, commissioned by Labour Home Secretary Yvette Cooper, after the unrest last summer, throws full light on how those at the very heart of the state really think. Just like in the aftermath of the immigration protests last summer, when Keir Starmer and Yvette Cooper rushed to curb free speech, the shocking document from the Home Office pulls back the curtain to reveal the instinctive impulse of the state bureaucracy. While some of the report’s recommendations have since been rejected by mi...

Without growth, higher inflation looms as the UK finances itself by printing more money 27 January 2025 Daily Telegraph 27/01/25 Link Sir Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves’s attempt to grow Britain’s economy won’t correct its course Credit: Hollie Adams/Reuters Last week another update on monthly public borrowing prompted more gnashing of teeth about whether the Chancellor will breach her fiscal rules. But these short-term concerns risk masking a deeper issue of major significance. Is Britain’s fiscal position sustainable? The ratio of UK government debt to GDP is about 100pc. Admittedly, Japan’s ratio is much higher. But it also has high domestic savings and huge international net assets. America’s ratio is also higher than ours. But America is ... well, America. It issues the world’s currency. Italy, Greece and France also have higher debt ratios than ours. Do I really have to spell out why this isn’t a recommendation? Nor is having a high debt ratio unusual in our history. The ratio wa...

Record numbers of millionaires are already fleeing the UK amid rising taxes under the Labour government. We reveal the top destinations for migrating millionaires. Moneyweek 20/01/25 Link Record numbers of millionaires have fled Britain since Labour came to power due to high taxes and the impending end of non-dom status. Wealthy UK households had already been hit under the Tories by frozen tax thresholds as well as falling capital gains and dividend allowances, hitting how much they can keep from their income and investment gains. Many were already looking to leave the UK for more tax-friendly shores even before the general election result, according to Henley & Partners, which advises wealthy individuals on investing for citizenship and residency. These plans appear to have been accelerated after chancellor Rachel Reeves used her first Budget to unveil £40 billion of tax rises. The outflow was especially large at the top-end, with 78 centi-millionaires and 12 billionaires leaving ...

If those in their 20s and 30s had a proper stake in our country’s wealth, they may be less inclined to tear it down Daily Telegraph Link I’m all for respecting private property; the privacy part and the property part, which means I entirely agree with the rights of people to get stinking rich, or accrue substantial assets, and so long as they are operating within the law and paying taxes, to do what they like with it. Even so, I can’t help but think that there are reasons, potentially existentially important ones, for encouraging boomers to give up a decent chunk of their cash to their children. The facts are these: boomers are rich and the young are relatively poor. The median boomer’s wealth went up by a whopping £112,597 between 2010 and 2020, compared with £6,471 for the median millennial. Moaning about how unfair this is is pathetic and the war on boomers is often ugly in its assumptions. But that does not mean they shouldn’t be incentivised to be a bit more, how should I put it, ...

A seismic moment in British politics Matt Goodwin Jan 24 It’s happened. For the first time in history, Nigel Farage and Reform are number one in the polls. Not joint top with another political party. Not number one in local elections. Not number one in polls for an election to the European Parliament. No. Number one in a national poll ahead of the next general election. It is a truly seismic moment —a watershed—not only in Nigel Farage’s political career but in British politics. As I’ve both predicted and written about for some time, right here on this Substack, what we are witnessing in real time is the ongoing ‘realignment’ or reconfiguration of the traditional two party system. Something's happening out there An ‘inflection point’, in which Nigel Farage’s self-anointed People’s Army is not only bearing down on the established Uniparty but is starting to replace it. And how is it doing so? By rallying millions of hardworking, tax paying Brits who are utterly frustrated and fed-up...

Matt's speech on the atrocity that's rocked Britain Matt Goodwin Jan 23   Matt Goodwin’s newsletter goes to a community of 68,600 subscribers from 175 countries. Like our stuff? Then for the equivalent of buying us a pint each month become a paying supporter. Help us make a difference while gaining access to everything: the archive, Live with Matt each Friday, exclusive posts, events, discounts, comments and the knowledge you’re supporting independent writers who are challenging the broken status-quo and giving voice to the Forgotten Majority. You can also join us on YouTube, Instagram, TikTok, Twitter/X and Facebook. Friends, I am just as shocked and appalled as everybody in this country after reading today’s horrific details about the tragic murders of those poor little girls in Southport and the brutal attack on many others. I don’t think I’ll ever forget them. I am also furious with the state authorities that let these children down. Here’s my message to Keir Starmer, which...

This week Donald Trump has shown that another world is possible. Unshackling the economy can still turn us around Daily Telegraph Link Britain is cooked. Thirty years of malgovernment, ideological derangement and relentless self-sabotage have ruined us. We are careering towards quasi-bankruptcy, our international reputation shot, our society fractured, our citizens impoverished, unhealthy and demoralised, our public sphere strewn with litter, and our institutions discredited. Crime and disorder are at intolerable levels. Those who can are fleeing. Little of value is ever built, and certainly not enough homes or infrastructure. Our energy costs are the highest in the world, and blackouts loom. Goods, services, housing, transport and healthcare are rationed by government fiat, and congestion, over-regulation, bureaucracy and propaganda grind down anybody with any ambition, courage or creativity. We are craving a hard reset, but Keir Starmer, our worst prime minister in fifty years, is do...

What would Making the UK Great Again look like? Matt Goodwin Jan 22 Here’s a thought experiment. I want you to imagine that you just woke up and instead of reading this Substack you are reading about all the things a new government here in the UK is doing on Day One of taking power —a list of decisions and policies which are the equivalent of what President Trump has already done since returning to the White House this week. Here’s what you’d be reading in this list of ‘shock and awe’ announcements, a list that has already caught the attention of none other than Mr Elon Musk: This morning, after years of uncontrolled, unprecedented mass immigration, the new UK government has declared a ‘national border emergency’, acknowledging that the UK is no longer controlling its own borders and is no longer an independent, sovereign nation-state that is capable of controlling its own territory and keeping its own people safe and secure. As of this morning, the military is currently being sent to ...

 The cultural elites got a free ride under Biden. That ends now. Spiked 20th January 2025 Link The tragedy of Joe Biden is not only his cognitive decline. It is not only his very public demise, his transformation from an upright man who spoke in a Pennsylvania boom to a shuffling old fella whispering inanities to the world. It is not only that he ascended to power posing as the defender of the republic and three years later was yakking incoherently in a CNN clash with Donald Trump. ‘Democracy has prevailed’, he told the audience at his inauguration on 20 January 2021, two weeks after a Trumpist mob had sacked the Capitol in a fit of undemocratic pique. ‘We finally beat Medicare’, he mumbled surreally in that CNN debate. From the republic’s protector to its most memed jester – it was a fall of King Lear proportions. No, the true tragedy of Joe Biden is that he promised to be one thing and became something else entirely. He promised to steady the great ship America in the swirling se...

Labour has bet the house on growth. The trouble is, voters are not even sure what she is talking about Daily Telegraph  Link There is a report by a Labour friendly think tank winging its way towards Downing Street that will be so troubling for the Prime Minister and the Chancellor that no-one is quite sure how to tell them. It is based on speaking to people little understood by the state bureaucrats tasked with magicking up the policies governments might consider – voters. Many are from seats in the north of England and other “left-behind” areas. Just the type of people who have most rapidly turned away from Keir Starmer and his government since the “loveless landslide” of last July. Starmer and Rachel Reeves will need to take its findings seriously when they are published in ten days’ time. Because this report, which I have been briefed on, throws an unforgiving light on why Labour’s support has fallen so rapidly. It will strengthen the hand of those – a growing number – who belie...

Rachel Reeves and Ed Miliband are clinging to failed expert orthodoxies. Spiked 13/01/25 Link Two signs of impending disaster reared into view last week. On Tuesday, the cost of UK government borrowing passed the peak it reached in the autumn of 2022, in the wake of Liz Truss’s disastrous mini-budget. Then, on Wednesday evening, the British energy system came the closest it has been to blackouts in decades. Worse still, this dire news is merely the tip of the iceberg when it comes to energy and the economy. Britain now faces the highest industrial energy prices in the developed world, with UK businesses paying four times as much as American businesses. The UK economy, as well as facing bond-market turbulence, has stagnated, with no growth recorded in the last quarter. The heightened cost of borrowing means a fresh round of austerity measures could be on the way, involving hikes to already eye-watering tax levels or spending cuts to already strained public services. This might seem like...

Mike Amesbury appears at Chester magistrates’ court accused of attacking Paul Fellows last year Daily Telegraph 16/01/25 Link Mike Amesbury, the suspended Labour MP, has pleaded guilty to assaulting a man in the street. The Runcorn and Helsby MP appeared at Chester magistrates’ court on Thursday accused of attacking 45-year-old Paul Fellows in Main Street in Frodsham, Cheshire, which was reported to officers at 2.48am on Oct 26 last year. Mr Amesbury was suspended from the Labour Party after footage emerged that appeared to show him punching a man. He now sits in Parliament as an Independent. The 55-year-old was summonsed to court to face a charge of section 39 assault after a file was passed to prosecutors on Oct 29. Alison Storey, prosecuting, told the court that at about 2am on Oct 26 last year Mr Fellows was in Frodsham town centre and went to a taxi rank. He was alone and had been drinking, she said. Ms Storey said: “Mr Amesbury arrived at the same taxi rank. He too was alone and ...

Bombshell polling reveals how out-of-touch the elite class really is Matt Goodwin - Jan 15 I’ve often said on this Substack that while the people who run Western nations would like you to believe that YOU are the fringe minority, in reality THEY are the minority. On everything from wanting to end mass, uncontrolled immigration to strengthening our broken borders, the views and beliefs that I proudly represent on this platform are much closer to the average voter than what you hear in among the elite class. Take, for example, the scandal that’s currently rocking Britain —the rape gangs. As brand new polling by Friderichs Advisory and JL Partners shows, which was shared exclusively on GB News tonight and I can share with you right now, Keir Starmer and his Labour government are utterly out of touch with the British people. What do I mean? Well, for a start, and as I pointed out using some other polling last week, the vast majority of British people —73%—say they want what Keir Starmer an...