An interesting day, but fundamentally what does it mean for the country?
Firstly, the court judgement and the questions around it.
1) The Queen is above both civil and criminal law, although her advisers say she will endeavour to stay within the law.
2) The PM advises the Queen, but the DECISION is the Queen's to make, therefore the DECISION was the Queen's to make, and she is above the law.
3) Courts rule on matters of LAW, which LAW has the PM or the Queen actually broken?
4) UNLAWFUL - is a statement, in law it means "not expressly permitted by law" there is very little that is expressly permited by law, it merely means that law has not expressed an opinion. Shooting an alien is unlawful, because law has expressed an opinion on that.
5) Corbyn has called it "illegal" in his conference speech, that means contrary to CRIMINAL law and therefore subject to criminal charges and detention, clearly he doesn't understand law.
Frankly, this is the real coup in this country.
The political games now are so deep its pretty much impossible to determine what's going to happen. I suspect that Boris may try to bring a bill that overrides the FTPA and names an election day but that now could not be before November 8th at the earliest.
The problem is now two fould, that would either be in the critical period right after leaving or it would be immediately after having failed to have left. Neither now look to be paricularly good options for Boris.
Further into the winter and elections become more of a lottery.
The polls indicate that the Tories would lose substantial support if there is another election, potentially falling to a level similar to TBP.
Its tenable to go into a GE with current polling and risk a TBP split, but to go in with an extension would certainly lead to a hung parliament with remoaners in charge.
Fundamentally, I think Boris either needs an incredible wease to get out on Halloween or he needs a Brexit Party pact.
Its pretty much as simple as that now really.
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